Current Conditions And Forecasts
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NOAA is maintaining its forecast for a below-normal 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, with the expectation of seven to 13 named storms, including two to six hurricanes.
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According to its August outlook, Colorado State University expects nine named storms, four hurricanes and one major hurricane to form in 2026.
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In Florida, hurricane vulnerability is shaped not just by the storm, but by the way people live — in high-rises, along waterways, and across coastal communities where power loss, heat, and marine damage can complicate recovery.
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Saharan dust and wind shear are keeping things quieter in the Gulf, but an ocean scientist says, "it only takes one in the wrong place."
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A stationary front and deep moisture in the atmosphere will bring several days of heavy showers and thunderstorms, keeping the threat of flash floods across the northern half of Florida this week.
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Residents can pre-register for Hillsborough County’s special needs shelters ahead of a hurricane. These shelters provide medical staff, generator power and oxygen for people who need extra support during evacuations.
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The cameras are designed to help scientists better understand how flooding develops, and how communities can prepare for it.
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Hillsborough County officials recommend stocking up on healthy foods, keeping emergency kits ready and having a plan before a hurricane is at the door.
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Flash flood risk along Florida's East Coast, as there will be some slow movers. Widespread showers and storms for the beginning of the week. Higher rain chances remain focused over the areas experiencing the worst drought in Florida.
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Temperatures could feel as high as 113F to start the week, with conditions changing later as more rain and storms return to the forecast.
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Florida has one of the highest rates of air conditioning, with 99.5% of households reporting having access to cooling.
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Tropical Storm Bertha made landfall north of the mouth of the Mississippi River on Wednesday. The threat for dangerous rip currents was expected to continue along the Gulf Coast.
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The Peninsula had drier-than-usual conditions as Bertha was west of the state. The wind also left less hot afternoons across the western portion of the Peninsula, but as we wave goodbye to Bertha, rain and heat return to Florida. Let's look at this week's forecast.
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The El Niño weather pattern could limit how many Atlantic storms form this year. But unusually warm waters temperatures mean the risk of destructive storms is still high.